Accéder directement au contenu Accéder directement à la navigation
Article dans une revue

Emotions and voting behavior in self-determination referendums : the case of New Caledonia in 2018

Abstract : In this article we examine the impact of emotions in an independence referendum. New Caledonia – a French Pacific territory with 270,000 inhabitants – held a self-determination referendum in November 2018, in which 56% of the voters opted to remain a part of France. We conducted a post-referendum survey with 1496 respondents that included a specific battery to measure emotions as well as control variables. We find that experiencing anger with the national status of the territory increases the probability of voting for independence, while experiencing pride reduces it. These results remain after controlling for partisan, ethnic and national identification, expected effects of independence as well as sociodemographic factors. Moreover, emotions and identity interact and increase the effect of (the lack of) national identification. Beyond the effects of the traditional control variables, the results suggest that knowledge about voting behavior in independence referendums is transferable to decolonization in Pacific Islands.
Type de document :
Article dans une revue
Liste complète des métadonnées

https://hal-sciencespo.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-03100777
Contributeur : Spire Sciences Po Institutional Repository <>
Soumis le : mercredi 6 janvier 2021 - 17:54:43
Dernière modification le : vendredi 2 juillet 2021 - 13:59:53

Identifiants

Collections

Citation

Sylvain Brouard, Pavlos Vasilopoulos, Samuel Gorohouna, Christoph Hönnige, Éric Kerrouche. Emotions and voting behavior in self-determination referendums : the case of New Caledonia in 2018. Electoral Studies, Elsevier, In press, 69, ⟨10.1016/j.electstud.2020.102251⟩. ⟨hal-03100777⟩

Partager

Métriques

Consultations de la notice

62