Europe in 2040 : three scenarios

Jean-Paul Fitoussi (1) , Eloi Laurent (1)

1 OFCE - Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques (Sciences Po)

In this paper, we explore three scenarios for the future of the European Union, using history and reasoned imagination as guides. Our three scenarios are rooted in European contemporary challenges but draw on three ages that have shaped what Europe has become. Scenario 1 harks back to Antiquity ("the Empty Empire"), scenario 2 to the Middle Age ("Return of the City-states") and scenario 3 to the Renaissance ("Renascent Europe").

Keywords: European Union; prospects; prosperity; empire; city-state

Domains: Economics and Finance

Jean-Paul Fitoussi, Eloi Laurent. Europe in 2040 : three scenarios. 2009. ⟨hal-01066207⟩