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L’Europe comme enjeu clivant : ses effets perturbateurs sur l’offre électorale et les orientations de vote lors de l’élection présidentielle de 2012

Abstract : What role did the European challenge play in the domestic policy programmes and in voter choice during the 2012 French presidential election? Using three different datasets (manifestos, campaign speeches and the Cevipof post-electoral opinion poll), our results unveil the disturbing impact of the European issue. The candidates’ speeches show a double focus of denouncing and politicizing (revealing a left-right structure opposing welfare state/sovereign state) which echoes citizens’ worries. The bi-dimensionality of attitudes towards Europe is confirmed. As these two dimensions do not have the same influence on electoral behavior, our results suggest that the question of the role of European integration in the emergence of a new political cleavage should not be buried too quickly.
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Submitted on : Wednesday, December 1, 2021 - 9:54:30 AM
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Céline Belot, Bruno Cautrès, Sylvie Strudel. L’Europe comme enjeu clivant : ses effets perturbateurs sur l’offre électorale et les orientations de vote lors de l’élection présidentielle de 2012. Revue Francaise de Science Politique, Fondation Nationale des Sciences Politiques, 2013, 63 (6), pp.1081 - 1112. ⟨10.3917/rfsp.636.1081⟩. ⟨hal-03460678⟩

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