The anatomy of government bond yields synchronization in the Eurozone - Archive ouverte HAL Access content directly
Preprints, Working Papers, ... Year :

The anatomy of government bond yields synchronization in the Eurozone

Claudio Barbieri
  • Function : Author
Mattia Guerini

Abstract

We investigate the synchronization of Eurozone’s government bond yields at different maturities. For this purpose, we combine principal component analysis with random matrix theory. We find that synchronization depends upon yields maturity. Short-term yields are not synchronized. Medium- and long-term yields, instead, were highly synchronized early after the introduction of the Euro. Synchronization then decreased significantly during the Great Recession and the European Debt Crisis, to partially recover after 2015. We show the existence of a duality between our empirical results and portfolio theory and we point to divergence trades and flight-to-quality effects as a source of the self-sustained yield asynchronous dynamics. Our results envisage synchronization as a requirement for the smooth transmission of conventional monet ary policy in the Eurozone.
Fichier principal
Vignette du fichier
OFCEWP2021-08.pdf (1.89 Mo) Télécharger le fichier
Origin : Publisher files allowed on an open archive

Dates and versions

hal-03373853 , version 1 (11-10-2021)

Identifiers

  • HAL Id : hal-03373853 , version 1

Cite

Claudio Barbieri, Mattia Guerini, Mauro Napoletano. The anatomy of government bond yields synchronization in the Eurozone. 2021. ⟨hal-03373853⟩
15 View
34 Download

Share

Gmail Facebook Twitter LinkedIn More