Skip to Main content Skip to Navigation
Journal articles

From public outrage to the burst of public violence: An epidemic-like model

Abstract : This study extends classical models of spreading epidemics to describe the phenomenon of contagious public outrage, which eventually leads to the spread of violence following a disclosure of some unpopular political decisions and/or activity. Accordingly, a mathematical model is proposed to simulate from the start, the internal dynamics by which an external event is turned into internal violence within a population. Five kinds of agents are considered: “Upset” (U), “Violent” (V), “Sensitive” (S), “Immune” (I), and “Relaxed” (R), leading to a set of ordinary differential equations, which in turn yield the dynamics of spreading of each type of agents among the population. The process is stopped with the deactivation of the associated issue. Conditions coinciding with a twofold spreading of public violence are singled out. The results shed new light to understand terror activity and provides some hint on how to curb the spreading of violence within population globally sensitive to specific world issues. Recent violent events in the world are discussed.
Complete list of metadata

https://hal-sciencespo.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-03064936
Contributor : Spire Sciences Po Institutional Repository Connect in order to contact the contributor
Submitted on : Monday, December 14, 2020 - 4:06:18 PM
Last modification on : Friday, July 2, 2021 - 1:59:53 PM

Links full text

Identifiers

Collections

`

Citation

Sarwat Nizamani, Nasrullah Memon, Serge Galam. From public outrage to the burst of public violence: An epidemic-like model. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, 2014, 416, pp.620 - 630. ⟨10.1016/j.physa.2014.09.006⟩. ⟨hal-03064936⟩

Share

Metrics

Record views

34