Uncertainty, Decision Science, and Policy Making: A Manifesto for a Research Agenda - Archive ouverte HAL Access content directly
Journal Articles Critical Review: A Journal of Politics and Society Year : 2015

Uncertainty, Decision Science, and Policy Making: A Manifesto for a Research Agenda

(1) , (2, 3) , (4) , (1) , , , (5) , , (6) , (1) , (1) , (7) ,
1
2
3
4
5
6
7

Abstract

The financial crisis of 2008 was unforeseen partly because the academic theories that underpin policy making do not sufficiently account for uncertainty and complexity or learned and evolved human capabilities for managing them. Mainstream theories of decision making tend to be strongly normative and based on wishfully unrealistic “idealized” modeling. In order to develop theories of actual decision making under uncertainty, we need new methodologies that account for how human (sentient) actors often manage uncertain situations “well enough.” Some possibly helpful methodologies, drawing on digital science, focus on the role of emotions in determining people’s choices; others examine how people construct narratives that enable them to act; still others combine qualitative with quantitative data.
Fichier principal
Vignette du fichier
tuckett-et-al.-2015-uncertainty-decision-science-and-policy-making-a-manifesto-for-a-research-agenda.pdf (207.59 Ko) Télécharger le fichier
Origin : Publisher files allowed on an open archive
Loading...

Dates and versions

hal-02057279 , version 1 (05-03-2019)

Identifiers

Cite

David Tucket, Antoine Mandel, Diana Mangalagiu, Allen Abramson, Jochen Hinkel, et al.. Uncertainty, Decision Science, and Policy Making: A Manifesto for a Research Agenda. Critical Review: A Journal of Politics and Society, 2015, 27 (2), pp.213 - 242. ⟨10.1080/08913811.2015.1037078⟩. ⟨hal-02057279⟩
166 View
1011 Download

Altmetric

Share

Gmail Facebook Twitter LinkedIn More