Accéder directement au contenu Accéder directement à la navigation
Article dans une revue

Uncertainty, Decision Science, and Policy Making: A Manifesto for a Research Agenda

Abstract : The financial crisis of 2008 was unforeseen partly because the academic theories that underpin policy making do not sufficiently account for uncertainty and complexity or learned and evolved human capabilities for managing them. Mainstream theories of decision making tend to be strongly normative and based on wishfully unrealistic “idealized” modeling. In order to develop theories of actual decision making under uncertainty, we need new methodologies that account for how human (sentient) actors often manage uncertain situations “well enough.” Some possibly helpful methodologies, drawing on digital science, focus on the role of emotions in determining people’s choices; others examine how people construct narratives that enable them to act; still others combine qualitative with quantitative data.
Liste complète des métadonnées

Littérature citée [95 références]  Voir  Masquer  Télécharger

https://hal-sciencespo.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02057279
Contributeur : Spire Sciences Po Institutional Repository <>
Soumis le : mardi 5 mars 2019 - 11:15:11
Dernière modification le : dimanche 4 juillet 2021 - 03:25:08
Archivage à long terme le : : jeudi 6 juin 2019 - 13:54:23

Fichier

tuckett-et-al.-2015-uncertaint...
Fichiers éditeurs autorisés sur une archive ouverte

Identifiants

Citation

David Tucket, Antoine Mandel, Diana Mangalagiu, Allen Abramson, Jochen Hinkel, et al.. Uncertainty, Decision Science, and Policy Making: A Manifesto for a Research Agenda. Critical Review: A Journal of Politics and Society, Taylor and Francis 2015, 27 (2), pp.213 - 242. ⟨10.1080/08913811.2015.1037078⟩. ⟨hal-02057279⟩

Partager

Métriques

Consultations de la notice

219

Téléchargements de fichiers

482