Skip to Main content Skip to Navigation
New interface
Journal articles

Self-Blinded Oracles in DC’s Future Market for Security

Abstract : This paper studies the making future claims of security by a large selection of experts in D.C.’s think tanks. Although the future is a shared concern on D.C.’s marketplace of ideas and in think tanks, as knowledge producers, experts appear as ‘self-blinded’ and produce ‘self-blinding prophecies’. This paper studies the language of future claims and the role of think tanks in the production of anticipatory knowledge. It discusses how claims about the future are prioritised and highlights the focal points around which experts converge. It analyses the reasons for such homogeneous thinking lying in the experts’ social profiles, in the structure of D.C.’s marketplace and in its norms. The ‘future’ has two major latent functions. On the one hand, past-oriented thinking helps create surprises when political events break away from the limited sets of issues studied by experts. On the other, the ‘future’ has integrative functions: it serves as a communication tool for experts that gather around shared horizons of expectation and create a collective web of meaning.
Document type :
Journal articles
Complete list of metadata

Cited literature [10 references]  Display  Hide  Download

https://hal-sciencespo.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01168343
Contributor : Spire Sciences Po Institutional Repository Connect in order to contact the contributor
Submitted on : Thursday, June 25, 2015 - 4:27:35 PM
Last modification on : Monday, March 21, 2022 - 2:49:20 PM
Long-term archiving on: : Friday, October 9, 2015 - 5:36:44 PM

Identifiers

Collections

Citation

Ariel Colonomos. Self-Blinded Oracles in DC’s Future Market for Security. European Review of International Studies, 2015, 2 (1), pp.38 - 61. ⟨hal-01168343⟩

Share

Metrics

Record views

71

Files downloads

542