Assessing the Interest Rate and Bank Lending Channels of ECB Monetary Policies

Jérôme Creel (1) , Mathilde Viennot (2) , Paul Hubert (1)

1 OFCE - Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques (Sciences Po)
2 ENS Cachan - École normale supérieure - Cachan

This paper assesses the transmission of ECB monetary policies, conventional and unconventional, to both interest rates and lending volumes for the money market, sovereign bonds at 6-month, 5-year and 10-year horizons, loans inferior and superior to 1M€ to non-financial corporations, cash and housing loans to households, and deposits, during the financial crisis and in the four largest economies of the Euro Area. We first identify two series of ECB policy shocks at the euro area aggregated level and then include them in country-specific structural VAR. The main result is that only the pass-through from the ECB rate to interest rates has been really effective, consistently with the existing literature, while the transmission mechanism of the ECB rate to volumes and of quantitative easing (QE) operations to interest rates and volumes has been null or uneven over this sample. One argument to explain the differentiated pass-through of ECB monetary policies is that the successful pass-through from the ECB rate to interest rates, which materialized as a huge decrease in interest rates during the sample period, had a negative effect on the supply side of loans, and offset itself its potential positive effects on lending volumes.

Keywords: transmission channels; unconventional monetary policy; pass-through

Domains: Economics and Finance

Jérôme Creel, Mathilde Viennot, Paul Hubert. Assessing the Interest Rate and Bank Lending Channels of ECB Monetary Policies. 2013. ⟨hal-01064261⟩