Je t'aime, moi non plus: Bilateral opinions and international trade - Archive ouverte HAL Access content directly
Journal Articles European Journal of Political Economy Year : 2007

Je t'aime, moi non plus: Bilateral opinions and international trade

(1) , (2)
1
2
Anne-Célia Disdier
Thierry Mayer

Abstract

This paper studies the relationship between bilateral trade patterns and opinions. It uses the Eurobarometer public opinion surveys published by the European Commission, which provide data on the share of the population in each EU15 member country in favour of each CEEC joining the EU. Our results first suggest that bilateral opinions have a statistically robust and relatively large effect on imports, even when standard and new covariates capturing proximity between countries are controlled for. We interpret this effect as reflecting a positive impact of "bilateral affinity" on trade patterns. We also show that it is possible to go some way towards explaining the variance in bilateral opinions among our sample. Last we provide some preliminary attempt to determine causality between bilateral opinions and imports.
Fichier principal
Vignette du fichier
mayer-disdier-proofs-2007.pdf (271.85 Ko) Télécharger le fichier
Origin : Explicit agreement for this submission
Loading...

Dates and versions

hal-01021880 , version 1 (09-07-2014)

Identifiers

Cite

Anne-Célia Disdier, Thierry Mayer. Je t'aime, moi non plus: Bilateral opinions and international trade. European Journal of Political Economy, 2007, 23, pp.1140-1159. ⟨hal-01021880⟩
344 View
1324 Download

Share

Gmail Facebook Twitter LinkedIn More